Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Rogers Communications Inc. (RCI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$586.86 - $2,419.40$1,513.71
Multi-Stage$724.27 - $796.43$759.66
Blended Fair Value$1,136.69
Current Price$47.98
Upside2,269.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.17%-2.27%1.371.771.871.871.871.881.831.831.831.81
YoY Growth---23.02%-4.95%0.00%-0.10%-0.49%2.83%0.00%0.00%1.13%5.05%
Dividend Yield--3.55%3.22%2.98%2.63%3.23%3.22%2.55%3.17%3.10%3.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,749.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)747.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,001.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,349.80843.63506.18
Cash Retained (M)6,001.146,001.146,001.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,349.80-843.63-506.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,651.345,157.525,494.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)541.01541.01541.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.609.5310.16
LTM Dividend per Share1.381.381.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.609.5310.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.9810.9211.54
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Fair Value$586.86$1,513.71$2,419.40
Upside / Downside1,123.13%3,054.88%4,942.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,749.007,007.807,276.527,555.557,845.288,146.128,390.51
Payout Ratio11.08%26.86%42.65%58.43%74.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)747.861,882.633,103.344,414.895,822.477,331.517,761.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate2.83%3.83%4.83%
Year 1 PV (M)1,782.791,800.131,817.46
Year 2 PV (M)2,782.902,837.292,892.20
Year 3 PV (M)3,749.073,859.513,972.09
Year 4 PV (M)4,682.154,866.945,057.16
Year 5 PV (M)5,582.975,859.766,147.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)373,259.84391,764.80410,996.52
Equity Value (M)391,839.72410,988.43430,882.85
Shares Outstanding (M)541.01541.01541.01
Fair Value$724.27$759.66$796.43
Upside / Downside1,409.52%1,483.29%1,559.93%

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