DDM Analysis: R

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$186.77 - $355.34	$254.71
Multi-Stage	$171.43 - $187.40	$179.27
Blended Fair Value	$216.99
Current Price	$188.64
Upside	15.03%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.00%	6.07%	3.17	3.01	2.89	2.87	2.80	2.74	2.63	2.25	2.14	1.95
YoY Growth	-	-	5.47%	4.07%	0.82%	2.49%	2.20%	4.12%	16.75%	5.24%	9.43%	11.13%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.20%	2.50%	3.24%	3.61%	3.70%	10.34%	4.12%	3.09%	2.83%	3.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	502.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	142.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	360.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	100.40	62.75	37.65
Cash Retained (M)	360.00	360.00	360.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-100.40	-62.75	-37.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)	259.60	297.25	322.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	42.58	42.58	42.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.10	6.98	7.57
LTM Dividend per Share	3.33	3.33	3.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.10	6.98	7.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.43	10.32	10.90
WACC / Discount Rate	9.33%	9.33%	9.33%
Growth Rate	4.07%	5.07%	6.07%
Fair Value	$186.77	$254.71	$355.34
Upside / Downside	-0.99%	35.03%	88.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	502.00	527.46	554.22	582.33	611.87	642.90	662.19
Payout Ratio	28.29%	40.63%	52.97%	65.31%	77.66%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	142.00	214.31	293.58	380.35	475.16	578.61	612.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.33%	9.33%	9.33%
Growth Rate	4.07%	5.07%	6.07%
Year 1 PV (M)	194.16	196.02	197.89
Year 2 PV (M)	240.97	245.62	250.32
Year 3 PV (M)	282.83	291.07	299.46
Year 4 PV (M)	320.12	332.60	345.44
Year 5 PV (M)	353.16	370.46	388.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,908.50	6,197.87	6,498.47
Equity Value (M)	7,299.73	7,633.64	7,980.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	42.58	42.58	42.58
Fair Value	$171.43	$179.27	$187.40
Upside / Downside	-9.12%	-4.97%	-0.66%

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Ryder System, Inc. (R)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener