DDM Analysis: PTT-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$26.77 - $42.57	$33.96
Multi-Stage	$46.19 - $50.62	$48.36
Blended Fair Value	$41.16
Current Price	$33.25
Upside	23.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.22%	1.82%	2.89	2.19	3.02	2.75	1.81	2.86	2.99	2.59	1.57	1.54
YoY Growth	-	-	31.85%	-27.41%	9.50%	52.00%	-36.54%	-4.33%	15.17%	65.58%	1.78%	-36.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.02%	6.49%	9.58%	7.16%	4.42%	9.29%	6.22%	4.70%	4.05%	5.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	73,943.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	58,113.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15,829.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14,788.65	9,242.91	5,545.74
Cash Retained (M)	15,829.51	15,829.51	15,829.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14,788.65	-9,242.91	-5,545.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,040.86	6,586.60	10,283.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	28,482.47	28,482.47	28,482.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.23	0.36
LTM Dividend per Share	2.04	2.04	2.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.23	0.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.08	2.27	2.40
WACC / Discount Rate	7.56%	7.56%	7.56%
Growth Rate	-0.18%	0.82%	1.82%
Fair Value	$26.77	$33.96	$42.57
Upside / Downside	-19.49%	2.13%	28.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	73,943.25	74,548.26	75,158.23	75,773.19	76,393.18	77,018.25	79,328.79
Payout Ratio	78.59%	80.87%	83.16%	85.44%	87.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	58,113.74	60,290.07	62,498.14	64,738.30	67,010.93	69,316.42	73,379.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.56%	7.56%	7.56%
Growth Rate	-0.18%	0.82%	1.82%
Year 1 PV (M)	55,495.50	56,051.47	56,607.43
Year 2 PV (M)	52,953.05	54,019.35	55,096.29
Year 3 PV (M)	50,489.04	52,021.72	53,585.11
Year 4 PV (M)	48,105.36	50,062.24	52,078.22
Year 5 PV (M)	45,803.21	48,143.97	50,579.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,062,863.62	1,117,181.05	1,173,696.84
Equity Value (M)	1,315,709.77	1,377,479.80	1,441,643.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	28,482.47	28,482.47	28,482.47
Fair Value	$46.19	$48.36	$50.62
Upside / Downside	38.93%	45.45%	52.23%

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PTT Public Company Limited (PTT-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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