DDM Analysis: PTPS.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$102.87 - $145.72	$124.03
Multi-Stage	$158.36 - $173.61	$165.84
Blended Fair Value	$144.93
Current Price	$85.00
Upside	70.51%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	2.20	3.97	22.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-44.56%	-82.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.10%	3.20%	17.17%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	34,041.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13,005.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)	21,036.42

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6,808.30	4,255.19	2,553.11
Cash Retained (M)	21,036.42	21,036.42	21,036.42
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6,808.30	-4,255.19	-2,553.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)	14,228.12	16,781.23	18,483.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,167.52	2,167.52	2,167.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.56	7.74	8.53
LTM Dividend per Share	6.00	6.00	6.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.56	7.74	8.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend	12.56	13.74	14.53
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$102.87	$124.03	$145.72
Upside / Downside	21.03%	45.91%	71.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	34,041.50	33,701.08	33,364.07	33,030.43	32,700.13	32,373.12	33,344.32
Payout Ratio	38.20%	48.56%	58.92%	69.28%	79.64%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13,005.08	16,366.22	19,658.83	22,883.96	26,042.62	29,135.81	30,843.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	14,732.23	14,882.55	15,032.88
Year 2 PV (M)	15,929.34	16,256.09	16,586.15
Year 3 PV (M)	16,691.34	17,207.53	17,734.26
Year 4 PV (M)	17,098.77	17,807.43	18,537.90
Year 5 PV (M)	17,219.77	18,116.45	19,050.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)	261,568.06	275,188.51	289,370.55
Equity Value (M)	343,239.51	359,458.57	376,311.84
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,167.52	2,167.52	2,167.52
Fair Value	$158.36	$165.84	$173.61
Upside / Downside	86.30%	95.10%	104.25%

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PT Pulau Subur Tbk (PTPS.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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