Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pinthong Industrial Park Property Fund (PPF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.64 - $11.41$9.43
Multi-Stage$15.33 - $16.81$16.06
Blended Fair Value$12.74
Current Price$10.30
Upside23.71%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.740.690.720.740.670.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--7.97%-4.09%-2.70%10.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.20%6.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7126.0715.64
Cash Retained (M)39.4439.4439.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.71-26.07-15.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.2713.3723.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.51224.51224.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.060.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.64$9.43$11.41
Upside / Downside-25.84%-8.45%10.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.54206.45204.39202.34200.32198.32204.27
Payout Ratio81.09%82.87%84.65%86.44%88.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.10171.09173.02174.90176.72178.49188.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)157.50159.10160.71
Year 2 PV (M)146.62149.63152.67
Year 3 PV (M)136.44140.66144.96
Year 4 PV (M)126.90132.16137.59
Year 5 PV (M)117.99124.13130.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,755.442,898.923,048.32
Equity Value (M)3,440.893,604.613,774.78
Shares Outstanding (M)224.51224.51224.51
Fair Value$15.33$16.06$16.81
Upside / Downside48.80%55.88%63.24%

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