DDM Analysis: PEAB3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.10 - $8.00	$7.10
Multi-Stage	$16.22 - $17.92	$17.06
Blended Fair Value	$12.08
Current Price	$37.30
Upside	-67.63%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-20.01%	-2.77%	1.26	0.22	1.26	8.09	22.97	3.84	2.23	2.05	0.87	1.80
YoY Growth	-	-	474.45%	-82.59%	-84.47%	-64.76%	498.37%	71.83%	8.92%	136.26%	-51.85%	8.29%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.76%	0.59%	4.18%	12.45%	37.68%	6.40%	6.36%	5.13%	2.78%	6.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	32.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	25.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.98

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.55	4.09	2.46
Cash Retained (M)	6.98	6.98	6.98
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.55	-4.09	-2.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.43	2.89	4.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	18.69	18.69	18.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.15	0.24
LTM Dividend per Share	1.38	1.38	1.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.15	0.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.40	1.53	1.62
WACC / Discount Rate	7.91%	7.91%	7.91%
Growth Rate	-12.26%	-11.26%	-10.26%
Fair Value	$6.10	$7.10	$8.00
Upside / Downside	-83.66%	-80.98%	-78.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	32.75	29.06	25.79	22.88	20.31	18.02	18.56
Payout Ratio	78.68%	80.95%	83.21%	85.47%	87.74%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	25.77	23.52	21.46	19.56	17.82	16.22	17.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.91%	7.91%	7.91%
Growth Rate	-12.26%	-11.26%	-10.26%
Year 1 PV (M)	21.55	21.80	22.04
Year 2 PV (M)	18.01	18.43	18.84
Year 3 PV (M)	15.04	15.56	16.10
Year 4 PV (M)	12.56	13.14	13.74
Year 5 PV (M)	10.47	11.08	11.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)	225.60	238.76	252.52
Equity Value (M)	303.24	318.77	334.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	18.69	18.69	18.69
Fair Value	$16.22	$17.06	$17.92
Upside / Downside	-56.50%	-54.27%	-51.95%

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Companhia de Participações Aliança da Bahia (PEAB3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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