Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PCG-PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.42 - $24.31$18.75
Multi-Stage$53.24 - $58.80$55.96
Blended Fair Value$37.36
Current Price$15.08
Upside147.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-20.27%0.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.460.420.39
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%10.86%7.59%3.38%
Dividend Yield--0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.63%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,707.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)188.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,519.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)541.40338.38203.03
Cash Retained (M)2,519.002,519.002,519.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-541.40-338.38-203.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,977.602,180.632,315.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate4.67%4.67%4.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.42$18.75$24.31
Upside / Downside-4.36%24.32%61.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,707.002,679.932,653.132,626.602,600.332,574.332,651.56
Payout Ratio6.94%23.56%40.17%56.78%73.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)188.00631.281,065.681,491.331,908.362,316.902,452.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.67%4.67%4.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)597.05603.14609.24
Year 2 PV (M)953.24972.79992.55
Year 3 PV (M)1,261.641,300.661,340.47
Year 4 PV (M)1,526.901,590.181,655.41
Year 5 PV (M)1,753.251,844.551,939.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)111,441.24117,244.24123,286.51
Equity Value (M)117,533.32123,555.57129,823.78
Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
Fair Value$53.24$55.96$58.80
Upside / Downside253.03%271.12%289.94%

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