DDM Analysis: PBSA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,452.21 - $3,079.47	$2,061.47
Multi-Stage	$1,136.13 - $1,236.77	$1,185.56
Blended Fair Value	$1,623.51
Current Price	$985.00
Upside	64.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	14.87%	-18.62%	13.00	80.00	23.50	13.50	16.50	6.50	40.00	10.00	0.00	56.89
YoY Growth	-	-	-83.75%	240.43%	74.07%	-18.18%	153.85%	-83.75%	300.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-44.23%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.57%	26.85%	7.48%	3.65%	6.90%	1.73%	11.51%	1.33%	0.00%	9.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	232,306.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	165,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	67,306.18

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	46,461.24	29,038.27	17,422.96
Cash Retained (M)	67,306.18	67,306.18	67,306.18
(-) Cash Required (M)	-46,461.24	-29,038.27	-17,422.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20,844.94	38,267.91	49,883.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.95	12.76	16.63
LTM Dividend per Share	55.00	55.00	55.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.95	12.76	16.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	61.95	67.76	71.63
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,452.21	$2,061.47	$3,079.47
Upside / Downside	47.43%	109.29%	212.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	232,306.18	247,406.08	263,487.48	280,614.16	298,854.08	318,279.60	327,827.99
Payout Ratio	71.03%	74.82%	78.62%	82.41%	86.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	165,000.00	185,113.09	207,143.77	231,256.32	257,628.33	286,451.64	303,240.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	166,703.85	168,283.98	169,864.12
Year 2 PV (M)	167,992.10	171,191.88	174,421.84
Year 3 PV (M)	168,895.90	173,744.29	178,684.60
Year 4 PV (M)	169,444.55	175,960.91	182,663.44
Year 5 PV (M)	169,665.60	177,860.51	186,369.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,565,700.51	2,689,624.80	2,818,291.97
Equity Value (M)	3,408,402.51	3,556,666.38	3,710,295.03
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,000.00	3,000.00	3,000.00
Fair Value	$1,136.13	$1,185.56	$1,236.77
Upside / Downside	15.34%	20.36%	25.56%

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Financial Statements

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PT Paramita Bangun Sarana Tbk (PBSA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener