DDM Analysis: OZK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$137.06 - $331.24	$203.46
Multi-Stage	$96.78 - $105.70	$101.16
Blended Fair Value	$152.31
Current Price	$50.98
Upside	198.77%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.18%	17.38%	1.58	1.43	1.34	1.29	1.22	1.06	0.90	0.78	0.55	0.41
YoY Growth	-	-	10.11%	7.06%	3.91%	5.21%	14.97%	18.50%	15.20%	42.72%	32.06%	30.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.63%	3.19%	3.91%	3.01%	2.99%	6.37%	2.98%	1.61%	1.05%	0.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	721.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	192.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)	529.09

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	144.34	90.21	54.13
Cash Retained (M)	529.09	529.09	529.09
(-) Cash Required (M)	-144.34	-90.21	-54.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	384.75	438.88	474.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	113.89	113.89	113.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.38	3.85	4.17
LTM Dividend per Share	1.69	1.69	1.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.38	3.85	4.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.07	5.54	5.86
WACC / Discount Rate	9.40%	9.40%	9.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$137.06	$203.46	$331.24
Upside / Downside	168.84%	299.11%	549.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	721.70	768.61	818.57	871.77	928.44	988.79	1,018.45
Payout Ratio	26.69%	39.35%	52.01%	64.68%	77.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	192.61	302.45	425.76	563.82	718.03	889.91	942.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.40%	9.40%	9.40%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	273.86	276.46	279.05
Year 2 PV (M)	349.08	355.72	362.44
Year 3 PV (M)	418.57	430.59	442.83
Year 4 PV (M)	482.67	501.23	520.32
Year 5 PV (M)	541.66	567.82	594.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,956.29	9,388.88	9,838.03
Equity Value (M)	11,022.13	11,520.71	12,037.67
Shares Outstanding (M)	113.89	113.89	113.89
Fair Value	$96.78	$101.16	$105.70
Upside / Downside	89.84%	98.43%	107.33%

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Bank OZK (OZK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener