DDM Analysis: OVS.MI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$24.62 - $71.98	$67.43
Multi-Stage	$35.20 - $38.74	$36.94
Blended Fair Value	$52.19
Current Price	$3.64
Upside	1,333.68%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.13	0.13	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	53.69%	45.52%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.79%	2.84%	1.96%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.30%	2.66%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	98.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	77.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)	20.66

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	19.71	12.32	7.39
Cash Retained (M)	20.66	20.66	20.66
(-) Cash Required (M)	-19.71	-12.32	-7.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.95	8.34	13.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	262.57	262.57	262.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.03	0.05
LTM Dividend per Share	0.30	0.30	0.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.03	0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.30	0.33	0.35
WACC / Discount Rate	2.91%	2.91%	2.91%
Growth Rate	1.67%	2.67%	3.67%
Fair Value	$24.62	$67.43	$71.98
Upside / Downside	576.29%	1,752.54%	1,877.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	98.55	101.17	103.87	106.64	109.48	112.40	115.77
Payout Ratio	79.04%	81.23%	83.42%	85.61%	87.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	77.89	82.18	86.65	91.30	96.13	101.16	107.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	2.91%	2.91%	2.91%
Growth Rate	1.67%	2.67%	3.67%
Year 1 PV (M)	79.09	79.86	80.64
Year 2 PV (M)	80.24	81.83	83.43
Year 3 PV (M)	81.36	83.78	86.25
Year 4 PV (M)	82.44	85.73	89.12
Year 5 PV (M)	83.48	87.66	92.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	8,836.92	9,280.16	9,741.01
Equity Value (M)	9,243.51	9,699.02	10,172.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	262.57	262.57	262.57
Fair Value	$35.20	$36.94	$38.74
Upside / Downside	867.15%	914.81%	964.35%

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OVS S.p.A. (OVS.MI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener