Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$530.14 - $625.49$585.76
Multi-Stage$332.79 - $367.69$349.89
Blended Fair Value$467.82
Current Price$91.43
Upside411.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%1.521.351.170.990.650.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--12.43%15.91%18.32%51.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.37%1.38%1.28%0.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,347.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)639.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)708.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)269.40168.38101.03
Cash Retained (M)708.00708.00708.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-269.40-168.38-101.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)438.60539.63606.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.40398.40398.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.101.351.52
LTM Dividend per Share1.601.601.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.101.351.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.702.963.13
WACC / Discount Rate-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$530.14$585.76$625.49
Upside / Downside479.84%540.67%584.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,347.001,333.531,320.191,306.991,293.921,280.981,319.41
Payout Ratio47.44%55.95%64.46%72.98%81.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)639.00746.12851.04953.781,054.391,152.891,220.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.90%-1.90%-1.90%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)752.89760.57768.26
Year 2 PV (M)866.55884.33902.28
Year 3 PV (M)979.981,010.281,041.21
Year 4 PV (M)1,093.171,138.481,185.18
Year 5 PV (M)1,206.141,268.941,334.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,682.84134,331.58141,254.46
Equity Value (M)132,581.57139,394.19146,485.72
Shares Outstanding (M)398.40398.40398.40
Fair Value$332.79$349.89$367.69
Upside / Downside263.98%282.68%302.15%

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