DDM Analysis: NESN.SW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$67.31 - $100.24	$83.00
Multi-Stage	$132.85 - $145.79	$139.20
Blended Fair Value	$111.10
Current Price	$78.83
Upside	40.93%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.57%	1.31%	3.00	3.01	2.93	2.95	2.96	2.78	2.74	2.74	2.67	2.67
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.17%	2.77%	-0.82%	-0.25%	6.50%	1.49%	-0.03%	2.72%	-0.19%	1.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.01%	3.09%	2.73%	2.32%	2.84%	2.65%	3.37%	3.27%	3.65%	3.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	21,509.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15,665.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,844.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,301.80	2,688.63	1,613.18
Cash Retained (M)	5,844.00	5,844.00	5,844.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,301.80	-2,688.63	-1,613.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,542.20	3,155.38	4,230.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,601.48	2,601.48	2,601.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.59	1.21	1.63
LTM Dividend per Share	6.02	6.02	6.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.59	1.21	1.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.61	7.23	7.65
WACC / Discount Rate	7.61%	7.61%	7.61%
Growth Rate	-2.02%	-1.02%	-0.02%
Fair Value	$67.31	$83.00	$100.24
Upside / Downside	-14.61%	5.28%	27.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	21,509.00	21,290.51	21,074.24	20,860.17	20,648.28	20,438.53	21,051.69
Payout Ratio	72.83%	76.26%	79.70%	83.13%	86.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15,665.00	16,236.99	16,795.75	17,341.48	17,874.39	18,394.68	19,472.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.61%	7.61%	7.61%
Growth Rate	-2.02%	-1.02%	-0.02%
Year 1 PV (M)	14,935.97	15,088.40	15,240.83
Year 2 PV (M)	14,211.99	14,503.56	14,798.09
Year 3 PV (M)	13,498.00	13,915.50	14,341.53
Year 4 PV (M)	12,798.00	13,328.51	13,875.34
Year 5 PV (M)	12,115.21	12,746.19	13,403.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)	278,060.17	292,541.79	307,620.59
Equity Value (M)	345,619.34	362,123.94	379,279.55
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,601.48	2,601.48	2,601.48
Fair Value	$132.85	$139.20	$145.79
Upside / Downside	68.53%	76.58%	84.95%

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Nestlé S.A. (NESN.SW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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