Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Mega Lifesciences Public Company Limited (MEGA-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$383.88 - $452.28$423.85
Multi-Stage$103.65 - $113.49$108.48
Blended Fair Value$266.17
Current Price$31.00
Upside758.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.67%19.11%1.611.661.621.060.770.710.710.540.470.41
YoY Growth---3.11%2.40%52.30%37.71%8.43%0.59%31.50%14.70%15.23%45.77%
Dividend Yield--5.49%3.86%3.88%2.34%2.25%3.21%2.07%1.30%1.77%2.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,974.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,395.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)579.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)394.87246.80148.08
Cash Retained (M)579.08579.08579.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-394.87-246.80-148.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)184.21332.29431.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)868.16868.16868.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.210.380.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.210.380.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.821.992.10
WACC / Discount Rate5.32%5.32%5.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$383.88$423.85$452.28
Upside / Downside1,138.34%1,267.27%1,358.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,974.372,102.702,239.382,384.942,539.962,705.052,786.21
Payout Ratio70.67%74.54%78.40%82.27%86.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,395.291,567.271,755.721,962.042,187.772,434.552,577.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.32%5.32%5.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,474.141,488.121,502.09
Year 2 PV (M)1,553.271,582.861,612.72
Year 3 PV (M)1,632.661,679.531,727.29
Year 4 PV (M)1,712.331,778.181,845.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,792.261,878.821,968.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)81,817.9985,769.8389,872.91
Equity Value (M)89,982.6594,177.3398,529.63
Shares Outstanding (M)868.16868.16868.16
Fair Value$103.65$108.48$113.49
Upside / Downside234.35%249.93%266.10%

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