Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

MFC-Strategic Storage Fund (M-STOR.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.34 - $6.45$5.34
Multi-Stage$8.58 - $9.41$8.98
Blended Fair Value$7.16
Current Price$7.05
Upside1.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.98%-5.88%0.450.400.330.370.370.400.570.720.710.73
YoY Growth--11.25%19.55%-8.58%-0.81%-8.53%-28.60%-20.98%0.70%-2.47%-10.78%
Dividend Yield--6.18%5.52%5.53%5.95%6.00%6.56%9.19%11.63%11.54%11.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.514.072.44
Cash Retained (M)5.775.775.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.51-4.07-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.731.713.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.34$5.34$6.45
Upside / Downside-38.49%-24.19%-8.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.5332.2031.8831.5631.2430.9331.86
Payout Ratio82.25%83.80%85.35%86.90%88.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.7526.9827.2127.4327.6427.8429.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)24.8125.0625.31
Year 2 PV (M)23.0023.4723.95
Year 3 PV (M)21.3121.9722.64
Year 4 PV (M)19.7420.5621.41
Year 5 PV (M)18.2919.2420.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)414.38435.96458.43
Equity Value (M)521.53546.26571.97
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
Fair Value$8.58$8.98$9.41
Upside / Downside21.67%27.44%33.44%

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