DDM Analysis: LXFR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.19 - $6.19	$5.15
Multi-Stage	$7.11 - $7.77	$7.43
Blended Fair Value	$6.29
Current Price	$13.96
Upside	-54.94%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.58%	2.63%	0.52	0.52	0.52	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.49	0.49	0.49	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	-1.41%	4.41%	0.00%	0.00%	1.49%	0.75%	0.00%	23.15%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.36%	4.97%	3.18%	2.91%	2.48%	3.66%	1.94%	3.84%	4.04%	3.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	14.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	14.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.23

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2.86	1.79	1.07
Cash Retained (M)	0.23	0.23	0.23
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2.86	-1.79	-1.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-2.63	-1.56	-0.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	27.08	27.08	27.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.52	0.52	0.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.49
WACC / Discount Rate	8.94%	8.94%	8.94%
Growth Rate	-1.03%	-0.03%	0.97%
Fair Value	$4.19	$5.15	$6.19
Upside / Downside	-69.97%	-63.12%	-55.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	14.30	14.30	14.29	14.29	14.28	14.28	14.71
Payout Ratio	98.38%	96.70%	95.03%	93.35%	91.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	14.07	13.82	13.58	13.34	13.09	12.85	13.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.94%	8.94%	8.94%
Growth Rate	-1.03%	-0.03%	0.97%
Year 1 PV (M)	12.56	12.69	12.82
Year 2 PV (M)	11.21	11.44	11.67
Year 3 PV (M)	10.01	10.32	10.63
Year 4 PV (M)	8.93	9.30	9.67
Year 5 PV (M)	7.96	8.37	8.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	141.82	149.13	156.74
Equity Value (M)	192.50	201.25	210.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	27.08	27.08	27.08
Fair Value	$7.11	$7.43	$7.77
Upside / Downside	-49.08%	-46.77%	-44.36%

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Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener