DDM Analysis: LVS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.77 - $17.90	$15.33
Multi-Stage	$60.23 - $66.78	$63.43
Blended Fair Value	$39.38
Current Price	$53.79
Upside	-26.79%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-24.26%	-13.04%	0.83	0.43	0.00	0.00	0.85	3.34	3.32	3.27	4.13	3.82
YoY Growth	-	-	93.44%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-74.52%	0.64%	1.77%	-20.96%	8.02%	13.41%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.16%	0.81%	0.00%	0.00%	1.40%	7.87%	5.25%	4.54%	7.24%	7.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,556.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	809.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	747.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	311.20	194.50	116.70
Cash Retained (M)	747.00	747.00	747.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-311.20	-194.50	-116.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	435.80	552.50	630.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	707.75	707.75	707.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	0.78	0.89
LTM Dividend per Share	1.14	1.14	1.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.62	0.78	0.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.76	1.92	2.03
WACC / Discount Rate	5.01%	5.01%	5.01%
Growth Rate	-7.70%	-6.70%	-5.70%
Fair Value	$12.77	$15.33	$17.90
Upside / Downside	-76.26%	-71.51%	-66.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,556.00	1,451.71	1,354.42	1,263.64	1,178.95	1,099.93	1,132.93
Payout Ratio	51.99%	59.59%	67.20%	74.80%	82.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	809.00	865.13	910.11	945.16	971.44	989.94	1,047.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.01%	5.01%	5.01%
Growth Rate	-7.70%	-6.70%	-5.70%
Year 1 PV (M)	815.03	823.87	832.70
Year 2 PV (M)	807.75	825.35	843.14
Year 3 PV (M)	790.29	816.26	842.79
Year 4 PV (M)	765.23	798.93	833.74
Year 5 PV (M)	734.65	775.31	817.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	38,712.73	40,855.83	43,092.81
Equity Value (M)	42,625.68	44,895.55	47,262.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	707.75	707.75	707.75
Fair Value	$60.23	$63.43	$66.78
Upside / Downside	11.97%	17.93%	24.15%

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Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener