Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Laureate Education, Inc. (LAUR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Education & Training ServicesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.92 - $18.08$14.81
Multi-Stage$23.67 - $26.10$24.86
Blended Fair Value$19.84
Current Price$31.54
Upside-37.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-12.59%0.010.761.700.000.000.000.070.000.010.14
YoY Growth---98.49%-55.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-92.65%213.70%
Dividend Yield--0.06%5.16%14.48%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.50%0.00%0.07%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)203.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.7425.4615.28
Cash Retained (M)203.25203.25203.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.74-25.46-15.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)162.51177.79187.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)148.72148.72148.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.091.201.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.091.201.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.101.201.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.92$14.81$18.08
Upside / Downside-62.21%-53.03%-42.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.71201.67199.65197.66195.68193.72199.53
Payout Ratio0.22%18.18%36.13%54.09%72.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.4636.6672.14106.91140.98174.35184.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.01%7.01%7.01%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)33.9134.2634.61
Year 2 PV (M)61.7363.0064.28
Year 3 PV (M)84.6387.2589.92
Year 4 PV (M)103.23107.51111.92
Year 5 PV (M)118.11124.26130.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,118.413,280.793,449.87
Equity Value (M)3,520.023,697.063,881.25
Shares Outstanding (M)148.72148.72148.72
Fair Value$23.67$24.86$26.10
Upside / Downside-24.95%-21.18%-17.25%

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