Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Krungdhep Sophon Public Company Limited (KWC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$180.96 - $299.98$233.60
Multi-Stage$276.67 - $302.80$289.49
Blended Fair Value$261.55
Current Price$276.00
Upside-5.24%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.86%6.54%10.3610.009.509.509.509.0018.007.005.505.50
YoY Growth--3.63%5.26%0.00%0.00%5.56%-50.00%157.14%27.27%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.43%3.56%3.70%3.77%3.42%3.20%6.38%2.51%2.71%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)74.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.6511.666.99
Cash Retained (M)18.3318.3318.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.65-11.66-6.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.326.6811.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.051.111.89
LTM Dividend per Share12.4812.4812.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.051.111.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.4313.6014.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$180.96$233.60$299.98
Upside / Downside-34.43%-15.36%8.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.2594.9996.7598.55100.39102.25105.32
Payout Ratio80.34%82.27%84.20%86.14%88.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)74.9278.1581.4784.8988.4192.0397.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)71.7972.5073.21
Year 2 PV (M)68.7570.1271.50
Year 3 PV (M)65.8167.7869.80
Year 4 PV (M)62.9665.4968.10
Year 5 PV (M)60.2063.2566.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,330.871,398.171,468.16
Equity Value (M)1,660.391,737.321,817.20
Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
Fair Value$276.67$289.49$302.80
Upside / Downside0.24%4.89%9.71%

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