Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Klinique Medical Clinic Public Company Limited (KLINIQ.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.93 - $52.49$37.06
Multi-Stage$22.44 - $24.38$23.40
Blended Fair Value$30.23
Current Price$27.00
Upside11.96%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%1.411.060.700.371.370.000.000.140.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%50.78%91.50%-73.26%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.87%2.67%1.71%1.50%5.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)351.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)319.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.3143.9426.37
Cash Retained (M)32.5632.5632.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.31-43.94-26.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-37.75-11.396.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)217.91217.91217.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.050.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.461.461.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.050.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate10.56%10.56%10.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.93$37.06$52.49
Upside / Downside-0.26%37.27%94.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)351.56374.41398.75424.67452.27481.67496.12
Payout Ratio90.74%90.59%90.44%90.30%90.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)319.00339.18360.64383.45407.71433.50458.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.56%10.56%10.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)303.91306.80309.68
Year 2 PV (M)289.54295.06300.62
Year 3 PV (M)275.85283.77291.84
Year 4 PV (M)262.80272.91283.30
Year 5 PV (M)250.37262.46275.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,507.583,677.003,852.90
Equity Value (M)4,890.065,097.995,313.36
Shares Outstanding (M)217.91217.91217.91
Fair Value$22.44$23.40$24.38
Upside / Downside-16.89%-13.35%-9.69%

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