DDM Analysis: KEJU.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$244.41 - $346.04	$294.60
Multi-Stage	$378.06 - $414.32	$395.85
Blended Fair Value	$345.22
Current Price	$580.00
Upside	-40.48%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-17.50%	0.00%	17.31	24.50	0.00	0.00	36.91	45.29	10.60	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-29.33%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-18.51%	327.40%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.12%	8.06%	0.00%	0.00%	10.25%	22.50%	3.53%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	171,804.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	73,125.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	98,679.79

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	34,360.96	21,475.60	12,885.36
Cash Retained (M)	98,679.79	98,679.79	98,679.79
(-) Cash Required (M)	-34,360.96	-21,475.60	-12,885.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)	64,318.83	77,204.19	85,794.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4,592.52	4,592.52	4,592.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share	14.01	16.81	18.68
LTM Dividend per Share	15.92	15.92	15.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share	14.01	16.81	18.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend	29.93	32.73	34.60
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$244.41	$294.60	$346.04
Upside / Downside	-57.86%	-49.21%	-40.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	171,804.79	170,086.74	168,385.87	166,702.01	165,034.99	163,384.64	168,286.18
Payout Ratio	42.56%	52.05%	61.54%	71.03%	80.51%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	73,125.00	88,530.61	103,620.80	118,400.33	132,873.91	147,046.18	155,664.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	79,669.42	80,482.38	81,295.33
Year 2 PV (M)	83,915.72	85,637.03	87,375.80
Year 3 PV (M)	86,287.43	88,955.92	91,678.88
Year 4 PV (M)	87,143.00	90,754.67	94,477.46
Year 5 PV (M)	86,785.01	91,304.11	96,009.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,312,451.09	1,380,793.46	1,451,953.64
Equity Value (M)	1,736,251.67	1,817,927.56	1,902,790.64
Shares Outstanding (M)	4,592.52	4,592.52	4,592.52
Fair Value	$378.06	$395.85	$414.32
Upside / Downside	-34.82%	-31.75%	-28.56%

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PT Mulia Boga Raya Tbk (KEJU.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener