Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Khonburi Sugar Power Plant Infrastructure Fund (KBSPIF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.08 - $11.44$9.74
Multi-Stage$12.05 - $13.24$12.63
Blended Fair Value$11.19
Current Price$7.40
Upside51.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.900.880.911.080.240.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.51%-3.41%-15.77%340.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--12.15%10.32%9.13%9.80%2.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)346.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)68.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)277.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.2843.3025.98
Cash Retained (M)277.53277.53277.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.28-43.30-25.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)208.24234.22251.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)280.00280.00280.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.840.90
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.840.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$8.08$9.74$11.44
Upside / Downside9.23%31.66%54.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)346.41342.94339.51336.12332.76329.43339.31
Payout Ratio19.88%33.91%47.93%61.95%75.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)68.88116.28162.73208.24252.82296.48313.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)104.64105.71106.78
Year 2 PV (M)131.78134.49137.22
Year 3 PV (M)151.76156.45161.24
Year 4 PV (M)165.81172.68179.76
Year 5 PV (M)174.98184.09193.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,646.262,784.052,927.53
Equity Value (M)3,375.233,537.473,706.11
Shares Outstanding (M)280.00280.00280.00
Fair Value$12.05$12.63$13.24
Upside / Downside62.90%70.73%78.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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