Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

JB Hi-Fi Limited (JBH.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$174.27 - $413.04$257.05
Multi-Stage$131.36 - $143.04$137.10
Blended Fair Value$197.07
Current Price$110.35
Upside78.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.50%16.04%3.522.723.492.832.831.571.431.381.090.85
YoY Growth--29.28%-22.00%23.37%0.00%80.03%9.47%3.83%27.29%27.78%6.92%
Dividend Yield--3.19%4.47%7.97%7.35%5.59%3.65%5.59%6.13%4.64%3.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)901.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)684.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)216.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)180.24112.6567.59
Cash Retained (M)216.80216.80216.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-180.24-112.65-67.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.56104.15149.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)109.75109.75109.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.951.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.246.246.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.951.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.577.187.60
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$174.27$257.05$413.04
Upside / Downside57.92%132.94%274.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)901.20959.781,022.161,088.601,159.361,234.721,271.76
Payout Ratio75.94%78.75%81.57%84.38%87.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)684.40755.87833.74918.531,010.831,111.251,176.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)683.95690.44696.92
Year 2 PV (M)682.64695.64708.76
Year 3 PV (M)680.51700.05719.95
Year 4 PV (M)677.64703.70730.51
Year 5 PV (M)674.08706.64740.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,017.6011,549.7512,102.27
Equity Value (M)14,416.4315,046.2315,698.87
Shares Outstanding (M)109.75109.75109.75
Fair Value$131.36$137.10$143.04
Upside / Downside19.04%24.24%29.63%

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