DDM Analysis: INCI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,095.03 - $1,728.64	$1,384.81
Multi-Stage	$2,386.97 - $2,628.38	$2,505.30
Blended Fair Value	$1,945.06
Current Price	$620.00
Upside	213.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	34.76	0.00	0.00	23.42	18.75	0.00	5.29	0.00	8.66	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	24.92%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.32%	0.00%	0.00%	4.43%	1.86%	0.00%	1.24%	0.00%	2.55%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	22,846.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7,219.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15,627.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,569.24	2,855.78	1,713.47
Cash Retained (M)	15,627.16	15,627.16	15,627.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,569.24	-2,855.78	-1,713.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,057.92	12,771.38	13,913.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	207.66	207.66	207.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	53.25	61.50	67.00
LTM Dividend per Share	34.76	34.76	34.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share	53.25	61.50	67.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	88.02	96.27	101.77
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	-1.53%	-0.53%	0.47%
Fair Value	$1,095.03	$1,384.81	$1,728.64
Upside / Downside	76.62%	123.36%	178.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	22,846.22	22,725.66	22,605.74	22,486.45	22,367.79	22,249.75	22,917.24
Payout Ratio	31.60%	43.28%	54.96%	66.64%	78.32%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7,219.06	9,835.39	12,423.91	14,984.83	17,518.38	20,024.78	21,198.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	-1.53%	-0.53%	0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)	9,151.96	9,244.90	9,337.84
Year 2 PV (M)	10,757.29	10,976.89	11,198.70
Year 3 PV (M)	12,073.11	12,444.67	12,823.77
Year 4 PV (M)	13,133.59	13,675.27	14,233.53
Year 5 PV (M)	13,969.46	14,693.32	15,446.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)	436,585.85	459,208.64	482,759.66
Equity Value (M)	495,671.26	520,243.67	545,800.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	207.66	207.66	207.66
Fair Value	$2,386.97	$2,505.30	$2,628.38
Upside / Downside	285.00%	304.08%	323.93%

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Financial Statements

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PT Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk (INCI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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