DDM Analysis: IMKTA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$36.94 - $55.55	$45.74
Multi-Stage	$81.00 - $89.31	$85.07
Blended Fair Value	$65.41
Current Price	$68.71
Upside	-4.81%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-1.16%	-0.56%	0.65	0.65	0.65	0.65	0.66	0.68	0.68	0.68	0.68	0.68
YoY Growth	-	-	0.01%	0.06%	0.05%	-2.97%	-2.90%	0.01%	0.02%	0.04%	0.04%	0.12%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.94%	0.99%	0.75%	0.65%	0.76%	1.68%	1.43%	2.58%	1.98%	1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	83.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	12.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)	71.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	16.72	10.45	6.27
Cash Retained (M)	71.32	71.32	71.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-16.72	-10.45	-6.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)	54.60	60.87	65.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	18.99	18.99	18.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.87	3.20	3.42
LTM Dividend per Share	0.65	0.65	0.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.87	3.20	3.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.52	3.85	4.07
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	-2.56%	-1.56%	-0.56%
Fair Value	$36.94	$45.74	$55.55
Upside / Downside	-46.24%	-33.42%	-19.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	83.59	82.29	81.01	79.74	78.50	77.28	79.59
Payout Ratio	14.68%	29.74%	44.81%	59.87%	74.94%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	12.27	24.47	36.30	47.74	58.82	69.55	73.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	-2.56%	-1.56%	-0.56%
Year 1 PV (M)	22.70	22.93	23.16
Year 2 PV (M)	31.22	31.86	32.52
Year 3 PV (M)	38.09	39.27	40.48
Year 4 PV (M)	43.52	45.34	47.21
Year 5 PV (M)	47.72	50.22	52.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,355.26	1,426.24	1,500.17
Equity Value (M)	1,538.51	1,615.87	1,696.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	18.99	18.99	18.99
Fair Value	$81.00	$85.07	$89.31
Upside / Downside	17.88%	23.81%	29.98%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Ingles Markets, Incorporated (IMKTA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener