Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

John Hancock Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund (HTD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62.06 - $100.92$79.48
Multi-Stage$115.79 - $127.20$121.39
Blended Fair Value$100.43
Current Price$22.91
Upside338.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.20%1.56%1.661.681.651.671.652.052.181.821.471.50
YoY Growth---1.26%1.88%-1.40%1.27%-19.67%-5.84%19.92%23.57%-2.23%6.06%
Dividend Yield--7.20%10.18%7.23%6.80%8.68%7.48%9.74%7.10%6.17%7.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)201.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)102.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.2125.1315.08
Cash Retained (M)98.3698.3698.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.21-25.13-15.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)58.1573.2383.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.4335.4335.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.642.072.35
LTM Dividend per Share2.902.902.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.642.072.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.544.965.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Fair Value$62.06$79.48$100.92
Upside / Downside170.90%246.92%340.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)201.04202.16203.30204.43205.58206.73212.93
Payout Ratio51.08%58.86%66.65%74.43%82.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)102.68118.99135.49152.16169.02186.06196.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Year 1 PV (M)110.27111.37112.48
Year 2 PV (M)116.34118.69121.06
Year 3 PV (M)121.08124.76128.52
Year 4 PV (M)124.63129.71134.95
Year 5 PV (M)127.13133.64140.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,503.283,682.783,869.57
Equity Value (M)4,102.724,300.964,507.01
Shares Outstanding (M)35.4335.4335.43
Fair Value$115.79$121.39$127.20
Upside / Downside405.42%429.84%455.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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