DDM Analysis: HMSB.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$64.99 - $101.46	$81.79
Multi-Stage	$148.97 - $163.97	$156.32
Blended Fair Value	$119.06
Current Price	$140.99
Upside	-15.56%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-8.31%	-4.00%	6.51	6.59	6.66	6.70	0.00	10.05	10.05	10.05	10.05	10.05
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.14%	-1.03%	-0.66%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	2.63%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.45%	4.52%	5.03%	4.00%	0.00%	5.89%	7.23%	7.30%	4.22%	3.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,881.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5,221.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,660.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,176.20	1,360.13	816.08
Cash Retained (M)	5,660.00	5,660.00	5,660.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,176.20	-1,360.13	-816.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,483.80	4,299.88	4,843.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,605.84	1,605.84	1,605.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.17	2.68	3.02
LTM Dividend per Share	3.25	3.25	3.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.17	2.68	3.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.42	5.93	6.27
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	-1.85%	-0.85%	0.15%
Fair Value	$64.99	$81.79	$101.46
Upside / Downside	-53.91%	-41.99%	-28.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,881.00	10,788.25	10,696.29	10,605.12	10,514.72	10,425.10	10,737.85
Payout Ratio	47.98%	56.39%	64.79%	73.19%	81.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5,221.00	6,083.08	6,930.09	7,762.22	8,579.65	9,382.59	9,932.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	-1.85%	-0.85%	0.15%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,663.01	5,720.71	5,778.41
Year 2 PV (M)	6,006.01	6,129.02	6,253.28
Year 3 PV (M)	6,262.62	6,456.00	6,653.32
Year 4 PV (M)	6,444.12	6,710.79	6,985.65
Year 5 PV (M)	6,560.55	6,901.64	7,256.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)	208,281.80	219,110.87	230,385.75
Equity Value (M)	239,218.10	251,029.03	263,313.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,605.84	1,605.84	1,605.84
Fair Value	$148.97	$156.32	$163.97
Upside / Downside	5.66%	10.88%	16.30%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB (publ) (HMSB.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener