DDM Analysis: HLUN-A.CO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$52.40 - $93.04	$69.56
Multi-Stage	$70.49 - $77.35	$73.86
Blended Fair Value	$71.71
Current Price	$45.54
Upside	57.46%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-21.87%	2.47%	0.70	0.58	0.40	0.50	0.82	2.40	1.60	0.49	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	20.49%	45.09%	-20.12%	-39.02%	-65.81%	50.03%	228.99%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.01%	1.75%	1.26%	1.54%	2.53%	7.39%	4.93%	1.50%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,809.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	943.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,866.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	761.80	476.13	285.68
Cash Retained (M)	2,866.00	2,866.00	2,866.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-761.80	-476.13	-285.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,104.20	2,389.88	2,580.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	992.72	992.72	992.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.12	2.41	2.60
LTM Dividend per Share	0.95	0.95	0.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.12	2.41	2.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.07	3.36	3.55
WACC / Discount Rate	7.56%	7.56%	7.56%
Growth Rate	1.60%	2.60%	3.60%
Fair Value	$52.40	$69.56	$93.04
Upside / Downside	15.06%	52.75%	104.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,809.00	3,908.17	4,009.92	4,114.33	4,221.45	4,331.36	4,461.30
Payout Ratio	24.76%	37.81%	50.85%	63.90%	76.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	943.00	1,477.51	2,039.22	2,629.17	3,248.47	3,898.22	4,126.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.56%	7.56%	7.56%
Growth Rate	1.60%	2.60%	3.60%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,360.33	1,373.72	1,387.11
Year 2 PV (M)	1,728.58	1,762.78	1,797.31
Year 3 PV (M)	2,051.91	2,113.10	2,175.49
Year 4 PV (M)	2,334.16	2,427.42	2,523.45
Year 5 PV (M)	2,578.89	2,708.33	2,842.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	59,926.75	62,934.42	66,061.66
Equity Value (M)	69,980.64	73,319.77	76,787.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	992.72	992.72	992.72
Fair Value	$70.49	$73.86	$77.35
Upside / Downside	54.79%	62.18%	69.85%

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H. Lundbeck A/S (HLUN-A.CO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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