DDM Analysis: HLAG.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,125.85 - $2,672.14	$2,504.19
Multi-Stage	$399.35 - $436.74	$417.70
Blended Fair Value	$1,460.94
Current Price	$127.00
Upside	1,050.35%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	110.68%	111.86%	9.33	63.07	34.99	3.52	1.12	0.22	0.66	0.02	0.04	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	-85.21%	80.25%	892.83%	213.56%	400.25%	-65.86%	3,632.26%	-50.79%	200.00%	133.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.69%	45.44%	11.59%	1.11%	0.85%	0.32%	2.26%	0.06%	0.13%	0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,362.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,455.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)	906.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	472.42	295.26	177.16
Cash Retained (M)	906.50	906.50	906.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-472.42	-295.26	-177.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)	434.08	611.24	729.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	175.80	175.80	175.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.47	3.48	4.15
LTM Dividend per Share	8.28	8.28	8.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.47	3.48	4.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.75	11.76	12.43
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,125.85	$2,504.19	$2,672.14
Upside / Downside	786.50%	1,871.80%	2,004.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,362.10	2,515.64	2,679.15	2,853.30	3,038.76	3,236.28	3,333.37
Payout Ratio	61.62%	67.30%	72.97%	78.65%	84.32%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,455.60	1,692.99	1,955.08	2,244.10	2,562.42	2,912.65	3,083.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,574.62	1,589.55	1,604.48
Year 2 PV (M)	1,691.27	1,723.48	1,756.00
Year 3 PV (M)	1,805.56	1,857.39	1,910.21
Year 4 PV (M)	1,917.55	1,991.29	2,067.14
Year 5 PV (M)	2,027.25	2,125.17	2,226.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)	61,189.32	64,144.79	67,213.37
Equity Value (M)	70,205.57	73,431.66	76,778.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	175.80	175.80	175.80
Fair Value	$399.35	$417.70	$436.74
Upside / Downside	214.45%	228.90%	243.89%

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Hapag-Lloyd AG (HLAG.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener