DDM Analysis: HAIS.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$984.48 - $3,014.07	$1,569.85
Multi-Stage	$660.39 - $721.10	$690.20
Blended Fair Value	$1,130.02
Current Price	$187.00
Upside	504.29%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	77.24%	0.00%	19.98	13.25	3.99	1.76	1.74	1.14	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	50.79%	232.36%	127.10%	0.99%	52.18%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.70%	5.18%	1.90%	0.82%	0.46%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	99,593.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	40,357.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)	59,236.20

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	19,918.70	12,449.19	7,469.51
Cash Retained (M)	59,236.20	59,236.20	59,236.20
(-) Cash Required (M)	-19,918.70	-12,449.19	-7,469.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	39,317.50	46,787.01	51,766.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,626.25	2,626.25	2,626.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	14.97	17.82	19.71
LTM Dividend per Share	15.37	15.37	15.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	14.97	17.82	19.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	30.34	33.18	35.08
WACC / Discount Rate	8.75%	8.75%	8.75%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$984.48	$1,569.85	$3,014.07
Upside / Downside	426.46%	739.49%	1,511.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	99,593.51	106,067.08	112,961.44	120,303.94	128,123.69	136,451.73	140,545.29
Payout Ratio	40.52%	50.42%	60.31%	70.21%	80.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	40,357.31	53,476.50	68,130.68	84,463.96	102,632.72	122,806.56	130,004.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.75%	8.75%	8.75%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	48,711.58	49,173.30	49,635.02
Year 2 PV (M)	56,530.28	57,607.02	58,693.92
Year 3 PV (M)	63,837.97	65,670.53	67,537.82
Year 4 PV (M)	70,658.21	73,375.53	76,170.47
Year 5 PV (M)	77,013.62	80,733.41	84,595.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,417,598.11	1,486,068.63	1,557,159.67
Equity Value (M)	1,734,349.76	1,812,628.41	1,893,792.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,626.25	2,626.25	2,626.25
Fair Value	$660.39	$690.20	$721.10
Upside / Downside	253.15%	269.09%	285.62%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

PT Hasnur Internasional Shipping Tbk (HAIS.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener