Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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goeasy Ltd. (GSY.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,318.92 - $2,732.08$2,560.36
Multi-Stage$592.98 - $649.93$620.93
Blended Fair Value$1,590.64
Current Price$173.37
Upside817.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.31%32.01%4.293.603.042.211.410.980.690.530.380.30
YoY Growth--19.40%18.09%37.72%56.87%43.45%42.54%31.27%39.63%23.43%14.07%
Dividend Yield--2.84%2.28%3.19%1.58%1.13%2.70%1.62%1.44%1.23%1.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)232.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)171.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.5729.1117.46
Cash Retained (M)171.80171.80171.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.57-29.11-17.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)125.23142.69154.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.9516.9516.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.398.429.11
LTM Dividend per Share3.603.603.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.398.429.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.9912.0212.71
WACC / Discount Rate5.40%5.40%5.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,318.92$2,560.36$2,732.08
Upside / Downside1,237.56%1,376.82%1,475.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)232.86247.99264.11281.28299.56319.03328.61
Payout Ratio26.22%38.98%51.73%64.49%77.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.0696.66136.63181.39231.39287.13303.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.40%5.40%5.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)90.8591.7192.57
Year 2 PV (M)120.70123.00125.32
Year 3 PV (M)150.60154.93159.33
Year 4 PV (M)180.57187.51194.65
Year 5 PV (M)210.59220.76231.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,297.929,747.0110,213.29
Equity Value (M)10,051.2210,524.9211,016.49
Shares Outstanding (M)16.9516.9516.95
Fair Value$592.98$620.93$649.93
Upside / Downside242.03%258.15%274.88%

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