DDM Analysis: GNG.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$35.08 - $76.06	$71.28
Multi-Stage	$11.95 - $13.05	$12.49
Blended Fair Value	$41.88
Current Price	$3.25
Upside	1,188.74%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	40.32%	10.09%	0.20	0.18	0.18	0.15	0.08	0.04	0.08	0.05	0.09	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	6.66%	2.10%	19.11%	84.57%	127.24%	-55.52%	50.24%	-39.85%	0.85%	18.56%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.02%	8.57%	8.39%	7.77%	5.44%	4.99%	9.98%	3.87%	6.08%	9.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	65.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	64.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.08	8.17	4.90
Cash Retained (M)	0.62	0.62	0.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.08	-8.17	-4.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-12.46	-7.56	-4.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	170.97	170.97	170.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.38	0.38	0.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.31	0.33	0.35
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$35.08	$71.28	$76.06
Upside / Downside	979.35%	2,093.23%	2,240.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	65.39	69.64	74.17	78.99	84.12	89.59	92.28
Payout Ratio	99.06%	97.24%	95.43%	93.62%	91.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	64.77	67.72	70.78	73.95	77.23	80.63	85.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	63.04	63.63	64.23
Year 2 PV (M)	61.33	62.50	63.68
Year 3 PV (M)	59.64	61.36	63.10
Year 4 PV (M)	57.98	60.21	62.51
Year 5 PV (M)	56.35	59.07	61.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,744.11	1,828.35	1,915.81
Equity Value (M)	2,042.45	2,135.12	2,231.22
Shares Outstanding (M)	170.97	170.97	170.97
Fair Value	$11.95	$12.49	$13.05
Upside / Downside	267.58%	284.25%	301.55%

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GR Engineering Services Limited (GNG.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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