DDM Analysis: GLVA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$251.85 - $372.11	$309.45
Multi-Stage	$473.32 - $519.53	$495.97
Blended Fair Value	$402.71
Current Price	$334.00
Upside	20.57%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-0.14%	0.00%	19.20	16.00	8.00	6.00	0.00	19.33	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	20.00%	100.00%	33.33%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.04%	4.35%	1.00%	2.24%	0.00%	9.39%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	47,838.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	28,800.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19,038.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9,567.60	5,979.75	3,587.85
Cash Retained (M)	19,038.00	19,038.00	19,038.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9,567.60	-5,979.75	-3,587.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9,470.40	13,058.25	15,450.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,500.00	1,500.00	1,500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	6.31	8.71	10.30
LTM Dividend per Share	19.20	19.20	19.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	6.31	8.71	10.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend	25.51	27.91	29.50
WACC / Discount Rate	7.93%	7.93%	7.93%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$251.85	$309.45	$372.11
Upside / Downside	-24.59%	-7.35%	11.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	47,838.00	47,359.62	46,886.02	46,417.16	45,952.99	45,493.46	46,858.27
Payout Ratio	60.20%	66.16%	72.12%	78.08%	84.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	28,800.00	31,334.33	33,815.10	36,243.11	38,619.19	40,944.12	43,343.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.93%	7.93%	7.93%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	28,739.45	29,032.71	29,325.97
Year 2 PV (M)	28,446.35	29,029.85	29,619.27
Year 3 PV (M)	27,964.00	28,828.81	29,711.26
Year 4 PV (M)	27,329.71	28,462.40	29,629.93
Year 5 PV (M)	26,575.49	27,959.34	29,400.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	570,917.68	600,646.69	631,601.44
Equity Value (M)	709,972.68	743,959.79	779,288.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,500.00	1,500.00	1,500.00
Fair Value	$473.32	$495.97	$519.53
Upside / Downside	41.71%	48.49%	55.55%

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PT Galva Technologies Tbk (GLVA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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