Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - SpecialtySector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.65 - $405.41$154.27
Multi-Stage$60.24 - $65.74$62.94
Blended Fair Value$108.60
Current Price$46.61
Upside133.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.11%5.33%3.003.012.782.290.832.131.991.911.550.91
YoY Growth---0.39%8.19%21.61%174.99%-60.87%7.03%3.98%23.58%70.16%-49.05%
Dividend Yield--5.89%6.61%5.34%4.88%1.96%7.67%5.13%5.71%4.63%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)775.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)638.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)155.0196.8858.13
Cash Retained (M)136.26136.26136.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-155.01-96.88-58.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-18.7539.3878.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)277.06277.06277.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.140.28
LTM Dividend per Share2.312.312.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.070.140.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.11%6.11%7.11%
Fair Value$87.65$154.27$405.41
Upside / Downside88.06%230.98%769.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)775.03822.42872.70926.06982.691,042.781,074.06
Payout Ratio82.42%83.94%85.45%86.97%88.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)638.77690.30745.74805.38869.52938.50993.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.11%6.11%7.11%
Year 1 PV (M)634.33640.36646.40
Year 2 PV (M)629.71641.75653.90
Year 3 PV (M)624.93642.93661.28
Year 4 PV (M)619.99643.92668.54
Year 5 PV (M)614.92644.73675.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,566.5514,224.2714,907.26
Equity Value (M)16,690.4217,437.9618,213.05
Shares Outstanding (M)277.06277.06277.06
Fair Value$60.24$62.94$65.74
Upside / Downside29.25%35.04%41.04%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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