DDM Analysis: GJTL.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$49,304.10 - $58,133.74	$54,458.86
Multi-Stage	$32,359.33 - $35,653.06	$33,974.16
Blended Fair Value	$44,216.51
Current Price	$1,115.00
Upside	3,865.61%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	17.43%	49.81	0.00	0.00	9.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	4.98	0.00	9.96
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-0.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.72%	0.00%	0.00%	1.59%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.61%	0.00%	1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,060,274.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	173,577.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	886,697.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	212,054.80	132,534.25	79,520.55
Cash Retained (M)	886,697.00	886,697.00	886,697.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-212,054.80	-132,534.25	-79,520.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)	674,642.20	754,162.75	807,176.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,484.41	3,484.41	3,484.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	193.62	216.44	231.65
LTM Dividend per Share	49.82	49.82	49.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share	193.62	216.44	231.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend	243.43	266.25	281.47
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.33%	-0.33%	-0.33%
Growth Rate	1.27%	2.27%	3.27%
Fair Value	$49,304.10	$54,458.86	$58,133.74
Upside / Downside	4,321.89%	4,784.20%	5,113.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,060,274.00	1,084,325.46	1,108,922.50	1,134,077.51	1,159,803.13	1,186,112.33	1,221,695.70
Payout Ratio	16.37%	31.10%	45.82%	60.55%	75.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	173,577.00	337,190.14	508,136.83	686,665.59	873,032.43	1,067,501.09	1,130,068.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.33%	-0.33%	-0.33%
Growth Rate	1.27%	2.27%	3.27%
Year 1 PV (M)	334,985.14	338,293.03	341,600.93
Year 2 PV (M)	501,512.79	511,466.32	521,517.65
Year 3 PV (M)	673,282.44	693,425.53	713,966.42
Year 4 PV (M)	850,419.19	884,510.72	919,617.11
Year 5 PV (M)	1,033,050.78	1,085,073.69	1,139,171.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	109,359,903.55	114,867,106.12	120,593,974.95
Equity Value (M)	112,753,153.89	118,379,875.40	124,229,848.69
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,484.41	3,484.41	3,484.41
Fair Value	$32,359.33	$33,974.16	$35,653.06
Upside / Downside	2,802.18%	2,947.01%	3,097.58%

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PT. Gajah Tunggal Tbk (GJTL.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener