DDM Analysis: GEPA3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$33.01 - $47.42	$40.05
Multi-Stage	$53.36 - $58.66	$55.96
Blended Fair Value	$48.00
Current Price	$33.90
Upside	41.60%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.79%	-0.51%	4.87	0.78	1.34	2.94	1.33	2.55	3.26	3.66	3.59	2.02
YoY Growth	-	-	522.36%	-41.56%	-54.45%	121.69%	-48.07%	-21.62%	-11.06%	2.10%	77.84%	-60.66%
Dividend Yield	-	-	14.75%	3.07%	5.88%	10.49%	3.23%	6.71%	9.17%	9.63%	10.25%	4.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	445.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	80.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)	365.24

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	89.14	55.71	33.43
Cash Retained (M)	365.24	365.24	365.24
(-) Cash Required (M)	-89.14	-55.71	-33.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	276.10	309.53	331.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	94.43	94.43	94.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.92	3.28	3.51
LTM Dividend per Share	0.85	0.85	0.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.92	3.28	3.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.78	4.13	4.37
WACC / Discount Rate	9.04%	9.04%	9.04%
Growth Rate	-2.16%	-1.16%	-0.16%
Fair Value	$33.01	$40.05	$47.42
Upside / Downside	-2.64%	18.14%	39.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	445.70	440.55	435.46	430.43	425.46	420.55	433.16
Payout Ratio	18.05%	32.44%	46.83%	61.22%	75.61%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	80.46	142.92	203.93	263.52	321.69	378.49	400.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.04%	9.04%	9.04%
Growth Rate	-2.16%	-1.16%	-0.16%
Year 1 PV (M)	129.75	131.08	132.40
Year 2 PV (M)	168.07	171.53	175.01
Year 3 PV (M)	197.16	203.27	209.50
Year 4 PV (M)	218.51	227.58	236.93
Year 5 PV (M)	233.39	245.57	258.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,091.96	4,305.38	4,527.62
Equity Value (M)	5,038.85	5,284.40	5,539.71
Shares Outstanding (M)	94.43	94.43	94.43
Fair Value	$53.36	$55.96	$58.66
Upside / Downside	57.40%	65.07%	73.05%

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Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A. (GEPA3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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