DDM Analysis: GEBKA.AT

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.23 - $1.95	$1.56
Multi-Stage	$1.49 - $1.63	$1.56
Blended Fair Value	$1.56
Current Price	$1.64
Upside	-4.89%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	38.18%	14.44%	0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.01%	36.86%	56.88%	-0.13%	134.95%	49.30%	0.76%	-0.43%	-53.75%	10.39%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.48%	4.15%	4.53%	3.02%	4.25%	1.84%	1.58%	2.02%	2.93%	6.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	0.57	0.36	0.22
Cash Retained (M)	1.06	1.06	1.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-0.57	-0.36	-0.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.49	0.70	0.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	24.06	24.06	24.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.08	0.08	0.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.10	0.10	0.11
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	2.10%	3.10%	4.10%
Fair Value	$1.23	$1.56	$1.95
Upside / Downside	-24.84%	-4.96%	18.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2.87	2.96	3.05	3.14	3.24	3.34	3.44
Payout Ratio	62.96%	68.37%	73.78%	79.18%	84.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1.81	2.02	2.25	2.49	2.74	3.01	3.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	2.10%	3.10%	4.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	1.82	1.84	1.86
Year 2 PV (M)	1.82	1.86	1.90
Year 3 PV (M)	1.82	1.87	1.93
Year 4 PV (M)	1.80	1.87	1.95
Year 5 PV (M)	1.78	1.87	1.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	26.90	28.25	29.64
Equity Value (M)	35.94	37.56	39.23
Shares Outstanding (M)	24.06	24.06	24.06
Fair Value	$1.49	$1.56	$1.63
Upside / Downside	-8.91%	-4.82%	-0.58%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

General Commercial & Industrial S.A. (GEBKA.AT)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener