DDM Analysis: GBLI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.35 - $30.35	$24.40
Multi-Stage	$48.05 - $52.87	$50.41
Blended Fair Value	$37.41
Current Price	$29.05
Upside	28.77%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.39%	0.00%	1.38	1.02	1.03	1.03	1.02	1.02	1.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	36.08%	-0.82%	-0.45%	1.26%	0.21%	1.39%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.02%	3.37%	3.64%	3.95%	3.43%	3.98%	3.28%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	27.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)	8.34

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5.58	3.49	2.09
Cash Retained (M)	8.34	8.34	8.34
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5.58	-3.49	-2.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2.76	4.85	6.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	14.01	14.01	14.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.20	0.35	0.45
LTM Dividend per Share	1.40	1.40	1.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.20	0.35	0.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.59	1.74	1.84
WACC / Discount Rate	6.07%	6.07%	6.07%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$19.35	$24.40	$30.35
Upside / Downside	-33.40%	-16.00%	4.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	27.90	27.62	27.34	27.07	26.80	26.53	27.33
Payout Ratio	70.11%	74.09%	78.06%	82.04%	86.02%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19.56	20.46	21.35	22.21	23.05	23.88	25.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.07%	6.07%	6.07%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	19.10	19.29	19.49
Year 2 PV (M)	18.59	18.97	19.36
Year 3 PV (M)	18.05	18.61	19.18
Year 4 PV (M)	17.49	18.21	18.96
Year 5 PV (M)	16.91	17.79	18.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	583.04	613.40	645.01
Equity Value (M)	673.18	706.28	740.70
Shares Outstanding (M)	14.01	14.01	14.01
Fair Value	$48.05	$50.41	$52.87
Upside / Downside	65.40%	73.54%	81.99%

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Global Indemnity Group, LLC (GBLI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener