Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Flexopack Société Anonyme Commercial and Industrial Plastics Company (FLEXO.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$106.78 - $337.36$316.16
Multi-Stage$44.46 - $48.68$46.53
Blended Fair Value$181.34
Current Price$8.00
Upside2,166.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%14.35%0.150.150.130.090.060.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%11.00%57.37%36.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.84%1.89%1.70%1.23%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.022.511.51
Cash Retained (M)16.5616.5616.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.02-2.51-1.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.5414.0515.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.8411.8411.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.061.191.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.061.191.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$106.78$316.16$337.36
Upside / Downside1,234.78%3,851.94%4,116.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.0921.3922.7824.2725.8427.5228.35
Payout Ratio17.58%32.07%46.55%61.03%75.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.536.8610.6114.8119.5224.7726.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6.366.426.48
Year 2 PV (M)9.129.299.47
Year 3 PV (M)11.8012.1412.49
Year 4 PV (M)14.4214.9815.55
Year 5 PV (M)16.9717.7918.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)467.83490.42513.88
Equity Value (M)526.51551.05576.51
Shares Outstanding (M)11.8411.8411.84
Fair Value$44.46$46.53$48.68
Upside / Downside455.75%481.65%508.53%

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