Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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F.I.L.A. - Fabbrica Italiana Lapis ed Affini S.p.A. (FILA.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$217.80 - $256.61$240.48
Multi-Stage$146.59 - $160.82$153.57
Blended Fair Value$197.03
Current Price$9.32
Upside2,014.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS54.22%36.83%0.680.120.230.120.000.080.000.070.090.00
YoY Growth--481.64%-47.82%91.19%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%-14.08%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--6.08%1.51%3.25%1.25%0.00%1.14%0.00%0.44%0.54%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.408.375.02
Cash Retained (M)26.3526.3526.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.40-8.37-5.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.9617.9821.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.9251.9251.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.350.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.350.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.131.19
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$217.80$240.48$256.61
Upside / Downside2,236.95%2,480.27%2,653.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.9971.3475.9880.9286.1891.7894.54
Payout Ratio60.66%66.53%72.40%78.26%84.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.6447.4655.0163.3372.5182.6087.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.64%2.64%2.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)45.8146.2546.68
Year 2 PV (M)51.2452.2253.21
Year 3 PV (M)56.9458.5860.24
Year 4 PV (M)62.9265.3467.83
Year 5 PV (M)69.1972.5376.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,324.327,678.098,045.40
Equity Value (M)7,610.437,973.018,349.36
Shares Outstanding (M)51.9251.9251.92
Fair Value$146.59$153.57$160.82
Upside / Downside1,472.81%1,547.74%1,625.52%

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