DDM Analysis: ESQ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$203.55 - $1,136.51	$388.86
Multi-Stage	$115.52 - $126.43	$120.88
Blended Fair Value	$254.87
Current Price	$102.06
Upside	149.72%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.56	0.43	0.25	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	30.30%	73.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.75%	0.91%	0.64%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	49.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	5.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)	43.56

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	9.82	6.14	3.68
Cash Retained (M)	43.56	43.56	43.56
(-) Cash Required (M)	-9.82	-6.14	-3.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)	33.74	37.42	39.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	8.59	8.59	8.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.93	4.36	4.64
LTM Dividend per Share	0.65	0.65	0.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.93	4.36	4.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.57	5.00	5.29
WACC / Discount Rate	7.87%	7.87%	7.87%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$203.55	$388.86	$1,136.51
Upside / Downside	99.45%	281.01%	1,013.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	49.11	52.30	55.70	59.32	63.17	67.28	69.30
Payout Ratio	11.29%	27.03%	42.77%	58.52%	74.26%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	5.54	14.14	23.82	34.71	46.91	60.55	64.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.87%	7.87%	7.87%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	12.98	13.11	13.23
Year 2 PV (M)	20.09	20.47	20.86
Year 3 PV (M)	26.88	27.65	28.44
Year 4 PV (M)	33.37	34.65	35.97
Year 5 PV (M)	39.55	41.46	43.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	859.82	901.35	944.47
Equity Value (M)	992.70	1,038.70	1,086.42
Shares Outstanding (M)	8.59	8.59	8.59
Fair Value	$115.52	$120.88	$126.43
Upside / Downside	13.19%	18.44%	23.88%

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Financial Statements

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Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. (ESQ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener