Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

ESAB Corporation (ESAB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.36 - $48.13$39.87
Multi-Stage$59.10 - $65.09$62.04
Blended Fair Value$50.95
Current Price$117.56
Upside-56.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.280.220.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.36%120.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.20%0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)242.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)222.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.5730.3518.21
Cash Retained (M)222.16222.16222.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.57-30.35-18.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)173.59191.80203.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8360.8360.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.153.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.153.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.193.493.69
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$32.36$39.87$48.13
Upside / Downside-72.48%-66.08%-59.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)242.84240.41238.00235.62233.27230.94237.86
Payout Ratio8.52%24.81%41.11%57.41%73.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.6859.6597.84135.26171.93207.84220.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)54.8455.4055.96
Year 2 PV (M)82.7084.4086.11
Year 3 PV (M)105.11108.36111.68
Year 4 PV (M)122.83127.92133.16
Year 5 PV (M)136.51143.62151.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,093.143,254.203,421.91
Equity Value (M)3,595.123,773.903,959.84
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8360.8360.83
Fair Value$59.10$62.04$65.09
Upside / Downside-49.73%-47.23%-44.63%

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