DDM Analysis: ERAA.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,689.04 - $5,170.75	$2,693.29
Multi-Stage	$1,119.16 - $1,222.80	$1,170.04
Blended Fair Value	$1,931.66
Current Price	$432.00
Upside	347.14%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.96%	177.18%	17.00	19.00	22.96	13.90	0.00	10.11	6.98	3.67	3.67	3.67
YoY Growth	-	-	-10.53%	-17.23%	65.15%	0.00%	-100.00%	44.74%	90.00%	0.00%	0.00%	578,566.58%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.21%	4.30%	4.41%	2.40%	0.00%	5.40%	1.91%	1.45%	3.04%	2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,026,957.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	299,886.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)	727,070.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	205,391.41	128,369.63	77,021.78
Cash Retained (M)	727,070.83	727,070.83	727,070.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-205,391.41	-128,369.63	-77,021.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	521,679.42	598,701.20	650,049.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	15,783.49	15,783.49	15,783.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	33.05	37.93	41.19
LTM Dividend per Share	19.00	19.00	19.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	33.05	37.93	41.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	52.05	56.93	60.19
WACC / Discount Rate	8.75%	8.75%	8.75%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,689.04	$2,693.29	$5,170.75
Upside / Downside	290.98%	523.45%	1,096.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,026,957.04	1,093,709.25	1,164,800.35	1,240,512.37	1,321,145.67	1,407,020.14	1,449,230.75
Payout Ratio	29.20%	41.36%	53.52%	65.68%	77.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	299,886.21	452,370.72	623,411.19	814,775.65	1,028,383.59	1,266,318.13	1,340,538.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.75%	8.75%	8.75%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	412,062.47	415,968.27	419,874.08
Year 2 PV (M)	517,263.39	527,115.80	537,061.17
Year 3 PV (M)	615,805.79	633,483.36	651,496.04
Year 4 PV (M)	707,993.77	735,221.21	763,226.52
Year 5 PV (M)	794,119.20	832,475.45	872,299.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	14,617,042.95	15,323,051.59	16,056,080.84
Equity Value (M)	17,664,287.57	18,467,315.69	19,300,038.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	15,783.49	15,783.49	15,783.49
Fair Value	$1,119.16	$1,170.04	$1,222.80
Upside / Downside	159.07%	170.84%	183.06%

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Financial Statements

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PT Erajaya Swasembada Tbk (ERAA.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener