Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Equatorial Energia S.A. (EQTL3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.22 - $505.51$162.28
Multi-Stage$51.92 - $56.73$54.28
Blended Fair Value$108.28
Current Price$36.95
Upside193.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.04%72.70%1.080.600.830.920.490.370.250.200.200.14
YoY Growth--79.99%-27.01%-10.53%87.28%33.40%45.58%27.11%1.32%39.57%2,971.38%
Dividend Yield--3.39%1.88%3.06%3.39%1.99%2.10%1.59%1.40%1.68%1.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,362.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,451.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,911.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)672.47420.29252.18
Cash Retained (M)1,911.281,911.281,911.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-672.47-420.29-252.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,238.801,490.981,659.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,322.791,322.791,322.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.941.131.25
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.941.131.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.032.222.35
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$87.22$162.28$505.51
Upside / Downside136.05%339.18%1,268.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,362.363,580.913,813.674,061.564,325.564,606.724,744.92
Payout Ratio43.16%52.53%61.89%71.26%80.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,451.081,880.882,360.432,894.373,487.754,146.054,389.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,725.851,742.211,758.57
Year 2 PV (M)1,987.352,025.202,063.41
Year 3 PV (M)2,236.032,300.222,365.63
Year 4 PV (M)2,472.362,567.442,665.23
Year 5 PV (M)2,696.752,827.012,962.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)57,560.7460,340.9463,227.55
Equity Value (M)68,679.0871,803.0275,042.64
Shares Outstanding (M)1,322.791,322.791,322.79
Fair Value$51.92$54.28$56.73
Upside / Downside40.51%46.90%53.53%

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