Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Enel S.p.A. (ENEL.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.74 - $104.38$35.66
Multi-Stage$17.77 - $19.44$18.59
Blended Fair Value$27.12
Current Price$8.07
Upside236.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.31%7.64%0.520.490.380.480.450.380.330.280.240.22
YoY Growth--4.62%29.54%-20.24%4.81%19.84%14.90%19.87%14.60%9.14%-10.73%
Dividend Yield--6.87%8.22%6.75%7.85%5.35%5.98%5.83%5.54%5.45%5.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,382.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,806.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)576.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,276.40797.75478.65
Cash Retained (M)576.00576.00576.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,276.40-797.75-478.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)-700.40-221.7597.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10,430.2610,430.2610,430.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.020.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.020.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate3.82%4.82%5.82%
Fair Value$19.74$35.66$104.38
Upside / Downside144.67%341.86%1,193.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,382.006,689.607,012.027,349.987,704.228,075.558,317.81
Payout Ratio90.97%90.78%90.58%90.39%90.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,806.006,072.796,351.826,643.636,948.827,267.997,693.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate3.82%4.82%5.82%
Year 1 PV (M)5,653.415,707.865,762.31
Year 2 PV (M)5,504.805,611.355,718.93
Year 3 PV (M)5,360.075,516.455,675.85
Year 4 PV (M)5,219.125,423.135,633.06
Year 5 PV (M)5,081.865,331.365,590.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)158,528.15166,311.43174,397.46
Equity Value (M)185,347.40193,901.59202,778.19
Shares Outstanding (M)10,430.2610,430.2610,430.26
Fair Value$17.77$18.59$19.44
Upside / Downside120.20%130.36%140.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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