Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (EMTK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,246.92 - $2,189.70$1,647.94
Multi-Stage$1,138.25 - $1,240.80$1,188.60
Blended Fair Value$1,418.27
Current Price$484.00
Upside193.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.77%-3.39%8.737.236.140.040.005.237.009.1614.0847.40
YoY Growth--20.79%17.75%17,347.96%0.00%-100.00%-25.25%-23.58%-34.92%-70.30%284.71%
Dividend Yield--1.60%1.65%0.78%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.86%1.07%1.60%5.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,545,680.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,687,775.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,109,136.17693,210.11415,926.06
Cash Retained (M)2,857,905.262,857,905.262,857,905.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,109,136.17-693,210.11-415,926.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,748,769.092,164,695.152,441,979.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
LTM Dividend per Share43.9543.9543.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.6035.4039.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend72.5579.3583.88
WACC / Discount Rate10.57%10.57%10.57%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Fair Value$1,246.92$1,647.94$2,189.70
Upside / Downside157.63%240.48%352.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,545,680.855,850,225.326,171,494.056,510,405.446,867,928.367,245,084.887,462,437.42
Payout Ratio48.47%56.77%65.08%73.39%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,687,775.593,321,341.714,016,387.594,777,754.965,610,631.926,520,576.396,902,754.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.57%10.57%10.57%
Growth Rate4.49%5.49%6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)2,975,331.193,003,805.553,032,279.92
Year 2 PV (M)3,223,139.673,285,126.743,347,704.20
Year 3 PV (M)3,434,702.583,534,261.183,635,725.31
Year 4 PV (M)3,613,256.543,753,572.463,897,935.97
Year 5 PV (M)3,761,791.853,945,274.904,135,848.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)52,598,162.1755,163,660.6157,828,303.22
Equity Value (M)69,606,383.9972,685,701.4475,877,797.31
Shares Outstanding (M)61,152.3761,152.3761,152.37
Fair Value$1,138.25$1,188.60$1,240.80
Upside / Downside135.17%145.58%156.36%

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