DDM Analysis: EME

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$543.58 - $1,333.04	$810.82
Multi-Stage	$371.59 - $406.42	$388.69
Blended Fair Value	$599.75
Current Price	$649.54
Upside	-7.66%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	19.30%	7.38%	0.95	0.72	0.60	0.62	0.39	0.39	0.41	0.42	0.43	0.44
YoY Growth	-	-	32.74%	20.22%	-3.47%	59.35%	-1.54%	-3.70%	-1.74%	-2.48%	-3.19%	-5.63%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.26%	0.20%	0.37%	0.55%	0.35%	0.64%	0.55%	0.53%	0.68%	0.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,130.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	45.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,085.04

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	226.07	141.30	84.78
Cash Retained (M)	1,085.04	1,085.04	1,085.04
(-) Cash Required (M)	-226.07	-141.30	-84.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	858.96	943.74	1,000.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	45.59	45.59	45.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share	18.84	20.70	21.94
LTM Dividend per Share	0.99	0.99	0.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share	18.84	20.70	21.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	19.83	21.69	22.93
WACC / Discount Rate	9.35%	9.35%	9.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$543.58	$810.82	$1,333.04
Upside / Downside	-16.31%	24.83%	105.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,130.37	1,203.85	1,282.10	1,365.43	1,454.18	1,548.71	1,595.17
Payout Ratio	4.01%	21.21%	38.41%	55.60%	72.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	45.33	255.31	492.40	759.24	1,058.68	1,393.84	1,475.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.35%	9.35%	9.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	231.29	233.49	235.68
Year 2 PV (M)	404.11	411.80	419.57
Year 3 PV (M)	564.46	580.67	597.18
Year 4 PV (M)	713.03	740.45	768.66
Year 5 PV (M)	850.44	891.52	934.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	14,179.20	14,864.06	15,575.14
Equity Value (M)	16,942.54	17,722.00	18,530.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	45.59	45.59	45.59
Fair Value	$371.59	$388.69	$406.42
Upside / Downside	-42.79%	-40.16%	-37.43%

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4912.T	Lion Corporation	1.64%	$27.13	35.97%
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600256.SS	Guanghui Energy Co., Ltd.	1.64%	$0.08	26.14%
605365.SS	Leedarson IoT Technology Inc.	1.64%	$0.44	81.91%
6244.TWO	Motech Industries Inc.	1.64%	$0.34	98.50%
6367.T	Daikin Industries,Ltd.	1.64%	$330.12	35.31%
6383.T	Daifuku Co., Ltd.	1.64%	$80.66	36.37%
6454.T	Max Co., Ltd.	1.64%	$113.15	45.27%
LSS.PA	Lectra S.A.	1.64%	$0.41	50.95%
MEVA.AT	Mevaco S.A.	1.64%	$0.15	13.50%
MOVI3.SA	Movida Participações S.A.	1.64%	$0.16	19.79%
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002266.SZ	Zhefu Holding Group Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.07	37.41%
0GDU.L	Paradox Interactive AB (publ)	1.63%	$5.00	82.82%
300121.SZ	Shandong Yanggu Huatai Chemical Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.21	53.84%
603013.SS	YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.40	37.85%
603081.SS	Zhejiang Dafeng Industry Co., Ltd	1.63%	$0.23	92.61%
603194.SS	Zhejiang E-P Equipment Co Ltd	1.63%	$0.64	29.27%
603221.SS	Elegant Home-Tech Co., Ltd.	1.63%	$0.21	78.59%
BEI.DE	Beiersdorf AG	1.63%	$1.52	25.19%
CLD.WA	Cloud Technologies S.A.	1.63%	$1.14	92.28%
IVS.MI	IVS Group S.A.	1.63%	$0.12	62.72%
LDO.MI	Leonardo S.p.A.	1.63%	$0.84	33.82%
MEOH	Methanex Corporation	1.63%	$0.67	24.08%
PARKIN.AE	Parkin Company PJSC	1.63%	$0.09	49.98%
051900.KS	LG H&H Co., Ltd.	1.62%	$4,377.83	70.74%
0F4O.L	Lotus Bakeries N.V.	1.62%	$133.75	36.00%
300206.SZ	Edan Instruments, Inc.	1.62%	$0.21	48.61%
5393.T	Nichias Corporation	1.62%	$110.01	23.11%
603385.SS	Huida Sanitary Ware Co., Ltd.	1.62%	$0.11	69.37%
605050.SS	Friend Co.,Ltd.	1.62%	$0.22	30.01%
7378.T	ASIRO Inc.	1.62%	$23.93	20.21%
BPAC11.SA	Banco BTG Pactual S.A.	1.62%	$0.84	27.38%
GRMN	Garmin Ltd.	1.62%	$3.28	40.42%
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VALO.BA	Banco de Valores S.A.	1.62%	$8.91	22.52%
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002913.SZ	Aoshikang Technology Co., Ltd.	1.61%	$0.69	60.58%
007570.KS	Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd	1.61%	$210.74	33.61%
066570.KS	LG Electronics Inc.	1.61%	$1,472.83	36.12%
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Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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