DDM Analysis: EMBELL.ST

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$18.05 - $25.64	$21.79
Multi-Stage	$28.40 - $31.12	$29.73
Blended Fair Value	$25.76
Current Price	$37.40
Upside	-31.12%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.77	0.77	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	3.24%	3.98%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	64.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	29.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	35.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.80	8.00	4.80
Cash Retained (M)	35.00	35.00	35.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.80	-8.00	-4.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.20	27.00	30.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	23.54	23.54	23.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.94	1.15	1.28
LTM Dividend per Share	1.23	1.23	1.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.94	1.15	1.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.18	2.38	2.52
WACC / Discount Rate	9.81%	9.81%	9.81%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$18.05	$21.79	$25.64
Upside / Downside	-51.74%	-41.75%	-31.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	64.00	63.36	62.73	62.10	61.48	60.86	62.69
Payout Ratio	45.31%	54.25%	63.19%	72.13%	81.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	29.00	34.37	39.64	44.79	49.84	54.78	57.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.81%	9.81%	9.81%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	30.99	31.30	31.62
Year 2 PV (M)	32.21	32.87	33.54
Year 3 PV (M)	32.81	33.83	34.86
Year 4 PV (M)	32.91	34.27	35.68
Year 5 PV (M)	32.61	34.31	36.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	506.88	533.28	560.76
Equity Value (M)	668.41	699.86	732.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	23.54	23.54	23.54
Fair Value	$28.40	$29.73	$31.12
Upside / Downside	-24.07%	-20.50%	-16.79%

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Embellence Group AB (publ) (EMBELL.ST)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener