Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

First Resources Limited (EB5.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.94 - $9.22$5.79
Multi-Stage$2.86 - $3.12$2.99
Blended Fair Value$4.39
Current Price$1.16
Upside278.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.34%3.85%0.050.110.060.030.020.020.050.030.010.03
YoY Growth---50.82%97.47%108.72%32.74%-6.20%-58.83%88.48%89.21%-46.64%-26.21%
Dividend Yield--4.31%10.93%4.74%2.39%2.08%1.53%4.28%2.16%1.05%1.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)291.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)117.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)173.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.2236.3921.83
Cash Retained (M)173.92173.92173.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.22-36.39-21.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)115.70137.53152.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,549.261,549.261,549.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3.94$5.79$9.22
Upside / Downside239.57%398.83%695.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)291.08310.00330.15351.61374.47398.81410.77
Payout Ratio40.25%50.20%60.15%70.10%80.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)117.17155.62198.59246.48299.76358.93379.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)140.76142.09143.42
Year 2 PV (M)162.45165.55168.67
Year 3 PV (M)182.37187.60192.94
Year 4 PV (M)200.60208.31216.25
Year 5 PV (M)217.24227.73238.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,524.043,694.263,870.98
Equity Value (M)4,427.454,625.544,830.89
Shares Outstanding (M)1,549.261,549.261,549.26
Fair Value$2.86$2.99$3.12
Upside / Downside146.36%157.38%168.81%

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