Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Eason & Co Public Company Limited (EASON.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.19 - $23.62$7.96
Multi-Stage$3.69 - $4.04$3.87
Blended Fair Value$5.91
Current Price$1.12
Upside427.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.95%-3.89%0.050.070.050.000.000.070.100.040.020.06
YoY Growth---18.66%44.86%0.00%-100.00%-96.15%-30.00%143.00%103.95%-66.67%-25.00%
Dividend Yield--5.26%5.47%3.60%0.00%0.20%8.82%4.50%1.13%0.49%2.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)67.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.588.485.09
Cash Retained (M)26.4926.4926.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.58-8.48-5.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.9118.0021.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)562.34562.34562.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate3.77%4.77%5.77%
Fair Value$4.19$7.96$23.62
Upside / Downside274.27%610.54%2,008.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)67.8871.1174.5078.0581.7785.6788.24
Payout Ratio60.98%66.78%72.59%78.39%84.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.3947.4954.0861.1968.8577.1081.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate3.77%4.77%5.77%
Year 1 PV (M)44.3144.7445.16
Year 2 PV (M)47.0847.9948.91
Year 3 PV (M)49.7051.1552.63
Year 4 PV (M)52.1754.2256.32
Year 5 PV (M)54.5257.1959.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,828.411,918.222,011.54
Equity Value (M)2,076.182,173.512,274.53
Shares Outstanding (M)562.34562.34562.34
Fair Value$3.69$3.87$4.04
Upside / Downside229.65%245.10%261.14%

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