Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Duni AB (publ) (DUNI.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.51 - $122.09$96.46
Multi-Stage$123.19 - $134.97$128.97
Blended Fair Value$112.72
Current Price$97.70
Upside15.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%2.26%5.003.000.000.000.005.005.005.005.004.49
YoY Growth--66.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%11.37%12.23%
Dividend Yield--5.01%2.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.34%4.81%4.33%3.82%3.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)235.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.4040.8824.53
Cash Retained (M)92.0092.0092.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.40-40.88-24.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.6051.1367.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.0047.0047.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.571.091.44
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.571.091.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.576.096.44
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate0.26%1.26%2.26%
Fair Value$75.51$96.46$122.09
Upside / Downside-22.71%-1.26%24.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327.00331.11335.27339.48343.75348.07358.51
Payout Ratio71.87%75.49%79.12%82.75%86.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)235.00249.96265.26280.91296.91313.26331.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.65%7.65%7.65%
Growth Rate0.26%1.26%2.26%
Year 1 PV (M)229.91232.21234.50
Year 2 PV (M)224.42228.91233.46
Year 3 PV (M)218.59225.20231.93
Year 4 PV (M)212.51221.11229.98
Year 5 PV (M)206.23216.72227.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,698.154,937.185,185.83
Equity Value (M)5,789.806,061.326,343.34
Shares Outstanding (M)47.0047.0047.00
Fair Value$123.19$128.97$134.97
Upside / Downside26.09%32.00%38.14%

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